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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-1.86+4.53vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-0.15+1.69vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-0.83+1.33vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-2.18+2.09vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.08-1.91vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.33-3.34vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.41-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.53University of California at San Diego-1.863.1%1st Place
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3.69University of California at San Diego-0.1511.7%1st Place
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4.33University of California at San Diego-0.838.1%1st Place
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6.09University of California at San Diego-2.181.9%1st Place
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3.09University of California at San Diego0.0818.9%1st Place
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2.66University of California at San Diego0.3327.9%1st Place
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2.61University of California at San Diego0.4128.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elizaveta Pertseva | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 14.0% | 33.0% | 32.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 11.7% | 15.9% | 17.6% | 19.1% | 20.4% | 12.3% | 2.9% |
| Stella Potter | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 15.9% | 24.8% | 21.4% | 7.4% |
| Cassidy Murray | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 9.2% | 23.2% | 55.5% |
| Aron McConnell | 18.9% | 20.3% | 20.5% | 20.5% | 13.9% | 5.0% | 0.9% |
| Emilia Dziedzic | 27.9% | 23.7% | 19.9% | 15.7% | 9.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Elsa Engesser | 28.3% | 24.2% | 20.5% | 15.7% | 8.1% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.