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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-0.15+2.64vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-1.86+3.64vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-2.18+3.02vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.33-1.28vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.83-0.68vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.41-3.38vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego0.08-3.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.64University of California at San Diego-0.1512.6%1st Place
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5.64University of California at San Diego-1.862.8%1st Place
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6.02University of California at San Diego-2.182.2%1st Place
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2.72University of California at San Diego0.3326.6%1st Place
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4.32University of California at San Diego-0.838.2%1st Place
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2.62University of California at San Diego0.4128.0%1st Place
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3.04University of California at San Diego0.0819.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tobie Bloom | 12.6% | 15.3% | 17.7% | 20.2% | 20.5% | 11.0% | 2.6% |
| Elizaveta Pertseva | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 13.9% | 32.7% | 35.0% |
| Cassidy Murray | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 24.4% | 52.8% |
| Emilia Dziedzic | 26.6% | 22.5% | 21.3% | 15.8% | 10.0% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Stella Potter | 8.2% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 25.8% | 20.2% | 7.5% |
| Elsa Engesser | 28.0% | 25.8% | 18.4% | 16.1% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Aron McConnell | 19.7% | 21.5% | 20.2% | 19.8% | 12.3% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.