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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-2.18+5.06vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-1.86+3.59vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.08+0.01vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.15-0.31vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego0.41-2.39vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.33-3.23vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.83-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.06University of California at San Diego-2.181.6%1st Place
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5.59University of California at San Diego-1.863.5%1st Place
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3.01University of California at San Diego0.0821.4%1st Place
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3.69University of California at San Diego-0.1512.1%1st Place
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2.61University of California at San Diego0.4127.4%1st Place
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2.77University of California at San Diego0.3325.4%1st Place
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4.26University of California at San Diego-0.838.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassidy Murray | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 22.9% | 54.9% |
| Elizaveta Pertseva | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 13.7% | 33.4% | 33.7% |
| Aron McConnell | 21.4% | 20.6% | 19.4% | 19.7% | 13.0% | 5.4% | 0.6% |
| Tobie Bloom | 12.1% | 16.0% | 16.1% | 20.3% | 20.6% | 11.7% | 3.3% |
| Elsa Engesser | 27.4% | 24.6% | 22.4% | 14.3% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Emilia Dziedzic | 25.4% | 22.9% | 20.5% | 16.2% | 11.1% | 3.2% | 0.8% |
| Stella Potter | 8.6% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 24.5% | 20.9% | 6.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.