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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego-2.18+5.00vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-1.86+3.63vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.08+0.03vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego0.33-1.30vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.83-0.65vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego0.41-3.39vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-0.15-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.0University of California at San Diego-2.182.4%1st Place
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5.63University of California at San Diego-1.862.6%1st Place
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3.03University of California at San Diego0.0820.3%1st Place
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2.7University of California at San Diego0.3326.4%1st Place
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4.35University of California at San Diego-0.838.2%1st Place
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2.61University of California at San Diego0.4127.1%1st Place
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3.67University of California at San Diego-0.1513.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassidy Murray | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 10.5% | 23.0% | 53.1% |
| Elizaveta Pertseva | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 8.2% | 12.6% | 33.9% | 34.4% |
| Aron McConnell | 20.3% | 22.2% | 18.4% | 19.1% | 13.8% | 5.3% | 0.9% |
| Emilia Dziedzic | 26.4% | 22.9% | 22.1% | 15.9% | 8.7% | 3.5% | 0.4% |
| Stella Potter | 8.2% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 17.6% | 24.9% | 20.3% | 7.9% |
| Elsa Engesser | 27.1% | 25.4% | 21.6% | 14.3% | 8.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Tobie Bloom | 13.1% | 14.0% | 17.8% | 20.1% | 20.8% | 11.5% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.