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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego0.41+1.67vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.33+0.66vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.08+0.07vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.15-0.28vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.83-0.65vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-2.180.00vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.86-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67University of California at San Diego0.4125.3%1st Place
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2.66University of California at San Diego0.3326.8%1st Place
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3.07University of California at San Diego0.0819.8%1st Place
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3.72University of California at San Diego-0.1513.2%1st Place
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4.35University of California at San Diego-0.839.0%1st Place
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6.0University of California at San Diego-2.182.5%1st Place
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5.53University of California at San Diego-1.863.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elsa Engesser | 25.3% | 25.4% | 21.4% | 16.4% | 8.0% | 3.1% | 0.3% |
| Emilia Dziedzic | 26.8% | 25.9% | 18.5% | 16.3% | 8.7% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Aron McConnell | 19.8% | 19.6% | 21.9% | 18.8% | 13.6% | 5.1% | 1.1% |
| Tobie Bloom | 13.2% | 12.9% | 16.6% | 21.0% | 21.8% | 11.2% | 3.4% |
| Stella Potter | 9.0% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 15.2% | 24.6% | 21.5% | 8.2% |
| Cassidy Murray | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 9.7% | 23.8% | 53.0% |
| Elizaveta Pertseva | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 13.7% | 31.6% | 33.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.