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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego0.41+1.64vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.33+0.71vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.08+0.01vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.15-0.38vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.83-0.63vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-2.18+0.06vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.86-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.64University of California at San Diego0.4127.4%1st Place
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2.71University of California at San Diego0.3326.1%1st Place
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3.01University of California at San Diego0.0820.4%1st Place
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3.62University of California at San Diego-0.1513.9%1st Place
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4.37University of California at San Diego-0.837.6%1st Place
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6.06University of California at San Diego-2.181.8%1st Place
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5.59University of California at San Diego-1.862.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elsa Engesser | 27.4% | 24.3% | 20.6% | 16.2% | 8.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Emilia Dziedzic | 26.1% | 24.3% | 20.3% | 15.5% | 9.4% | 3.9% | 0.4% |
| Aron McConnell | 20.4% | 20.6% | 20.6% | 19.4% | 13.8% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Tobie Bloom | 13.9% | 15.0% | 16.9% | 20.2% | 19.9% | 11.5% | 2.6% |
| Stella Potter | 7.6% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 16.9% | 25.1% | 21.2% | 7.5% |
| Cassidy Murray | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 24.3% | 54.4% |
| Elizaveta Pertseva | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 14.9% | 32.5% | 33.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.