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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego0.41+1.61vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.33+0.65vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.08+0.05vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.15-0.35vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.83-0.66vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-2.18+0.05vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.86-1.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.61University of California at San Diego0.4126.8%1st Place
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2.65University of California at San Diego0.3327.4%1st Place
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3.05University of California at San Diego0.0820.2%1st Place
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3.65University of California at San Diego-0.1513.7%1st Place
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4.34University of California at San Diego-0.837.0%1st Place
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6.05University of California at San Diego-2.181.9%1st Place
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5.65University of California at San Diego-1.863.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elsa Engesser | 26.8% | 25.9% | 21.1% | 14.8% | 8.4% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Emilia Dziedzic | 27.4% | 24.7% | 19.1% | 17.1% | 8.6% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Aron McConnell | 20.2% | 20.8% | 20.6% | 18.1% | 13.3% | 6.0% | 0.9% |
| Tobie Bloom | 13.7% | 13.8% | 18.0% | 20.2% | 20.0% | 11.1% | 3.1% |
| Stella Potter | 7.0% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 17.7% | 26.1% | 20.3% | 6.8% |
| Cassidy Murray | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 10.2% | 25.4% | 52.2% |
| Elizaveta Pertseva | 3.1% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 13.6% | 31.4% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.