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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego0.41+1.59vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.33+0.74vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.08+0.05vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.15-0.35vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.83-0.64vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-2.18+0.06vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.86-1.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59University of California at San Diego0.4127.7%1st Place
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2.74University of California at San Diego0.3326.2%1st Place
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3.05University of California at San Diego0.0819.7%1st Place
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3.65University of California at San Diego-0.1513.2%1st Place
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4.36University of California at San Diego-0.837.5%1st Place
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6.06University of California at San Diego-2.182.1%1st Place
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5.55University of California at San Diego-1.863.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elsa Engesser | 27.7% | 25.9% | 20.3% | 15.3% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Emilia Dziedzic | 26.2% | 22.1% | 22.6% | 15.3% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Aron McConnell | 19.7% | 21.1% | 20.3% | 19.4% | 13.4% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Tobie Bloom | 13.2% | 14.5% | 17.8% | 19.9% | 20.0% | 12.3% | 2.3% |
| Stella Potter | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 18.2% | 28.3% | 19.2% | 7.0% |
| Cassidy Murray | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 8.9% | 22.8% | 55.5% |
| Elizaveta Pertseva | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 12.6% | 34.1% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.