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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego0.41+1.58vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.33+0.77vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.08-0.01vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.15-0.28vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.83-0.67vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-2.180.00vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.86-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.58University of California at San Diego0.4129.6%1st Place
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2.77University of California at San Diego0.3323.4%1st Place
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2.99University of California at San Diego0.0821.1%1st Place
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3.72University of California at San Diego-0.1512.9%1st Place
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4.33University of California at San Diego-0.837.8%1st Place
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6.0University of California at San Diego-2.182.6%1st Place
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5.61University of California at San Diego-1.862.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elsa Engesser | 29.6% | 23.9% | 20.9% | 13.6% | 8.5% | 3.2% | 0.3% |
| Emilia Dziedzic | 23.4% | 25.4% | 20.7% | 16.4% | 10.0% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Aron McConnell | 21.1% | 20.7% | 21.1% | 19.6% | 11.6% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Tobie Bloom | 12.9% | 13.9% | 16.2% | 21.7% | 20.1% | 11.4% | 3.9% |
| Stella Potter | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 28.1% | 19.0% | 7.5% |
| Cassidy Murray | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 9.0% | 23.8% | 53.2% |
| Elizaveta Pertseva | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 34.2% | 33.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.