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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego0.41+1.59vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego0.33+0.70vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego0.08+0.11vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-0.15-0.35vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.83-0.66vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-2.18+0.01vs Predicted
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7University of California at San Diego-1.86-1.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.59University of California at San Diego0.4127.5%1st Place
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2.7University of California at San Diego0.3326.6%1st Place
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3.11University of California at San Diego0.0819.9%1st Place
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3.65University of California at San Diego-0.1513.6%1st Place
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4.34University of California at San Diego-0.837.8%1st Place
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6.01University of California at San Diego-2.181.8%1st Place
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5.6University of California at San Diego-1.862.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elsa Engesser | 27.5% | 26.1% | 20.9% | 14.1% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| Emilia Dziedzic | 26.6% | 23.2% | 20.9% | 16.7% | 9.0% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Aron McConnell | 19.9% | 19.1% | 20.9% | 18.8% | 14.2% | 6.0% | 1.1% |
| Tobie Bloom | 13.6% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 20.4% | 20.9% | 11.2% | 2.4% |
| Stella Potter | 7.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 17.3% | 26.2% | 19.9% | 7.8% |
| Cassidy Murray | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 24.8% | 52.4% |
| Elizaveta Pertseva | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 32.1% | 35.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.