Race 7B

delaware-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Ryan Ververs 22.7% 19.0% 17.4% 14.2% 11.1% 7.5% 4.3% 2.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
James Cottage 13.0% 11.2% 11.8% 13.0% 13.4% 14.0% 11.7% 7.4% 3.7% 0.9% 0.2%
Jared Cohen 17.6% 19.8% 16.9% 13.5% 11.2% 8.8% 6.8% 3.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Conor Farah 7.0% 7.8% 9.5% 9.4% 11.9% 13.0% 14.3% 13.2% 8.7% 4.0% 1.0%
Erich Laughlin 9.5% 9.4% 10.1% 10.5% 12.2% 12.3% 14.3% 11.6% 7.0% 2.6% 0.4%
Alexander Pfeffer 11.0% 12.1% 12.4% 13.9% 13.7% 13.4% 11.8% 7.0% 3.6% 0.9% 0.3%
Ernest Glukhov 13.6% 13.7% 13.7% 14.2% 13.4% 11.6% 9.2% 6.7% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
Phillip Furlong 1.4% 2.2% 2.5% 2.9% 3.5% 5.9% 8.2% 14.3% 20.9% 22.1% 16.1%
Ian Kaplan 1.7% 2.1% 2.5% 3.8% 3.9% 4.7% 7.6% 13.2% 19.3% 21.1% 20.0%
Laura Jayne 1.6% 1.8% 1.8% 2.8% 3.5% 5.3% 6.9% 13.1% 18.1% 25.3% 19.8%
Sebastian Bustamante 1.0% 1.0% 1.6% 1.8% 2.3% 3.5% 4.7% 6.9% 13.4% 21.9% 42.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.