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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.53+11.50vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.70+10.14vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.19+3.82vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.43+1.98vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College4.05+2.15vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.81+1.39vs Predicted
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8Harvard University4.17-1.15vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.68-0.44vs Predicted
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10Brown University4.25-3.29vs Predicted
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11University of Connecticut2.62+1.57vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.62-2.91vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University4.31-6.61vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.81+0.74vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.59-5.78vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University3.84-7.86vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.79-8.64vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-8.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.5Boston University2.530.0%1st Place
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12.14Bowdoin College2.700.0%1st Place
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6.82Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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5.98Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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7.15Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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8.39Tufts University3.810.1%1st Place
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6.85Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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8.56Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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6.71Brown University4.250.1%1st Place
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12.57University of Connecticut2.620.0%1st Place
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9.09University of Vermont3.620.1%1st Place
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6.39Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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14.74University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
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9.22University of Rhode Island3.590.0%1st Place
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8.14Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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8.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.790.1%1st Place
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9.4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathew Renik | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 13.4% | 19.7% | 15.3% |
| Billy Rohman | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 10.4% |
| Joseph Morris | 9.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.6% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Wefer | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Criezis | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| John Stokes | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Maggie Shea | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| William Brown | 8.6% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Peter Giuliano | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 17.7% | 14.4% |
| Coleman Bowen | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Sean Bouchard | 9.3% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Neal Drake | 0.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 15.6% | 49.7% |
| Mike Warren | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Patrick Clancy | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Philip Crain | 5.0% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.