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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego0.41+0.71vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-2.21+2.68vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-1.68+1.01vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-1.58-0.05vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.40-2.56vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.86-1.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.71University of California at San Diego0.4152.9%1st Place
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4.68University of California at San Diego-2.213.7%1st Place
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4.01University of California at San Diego-1.686.5%1st Place
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3.95University of California at San Diego-1.586.8%1st Place
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2.44University of California at San Diego-0.4023.9%1st Place
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4.21University of California at San Diego-1.866.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elsa Engesser | 52.9% | 29.0% | 13.1% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Pless | 3.7% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 15.8% | 22.7% | 40.5% |
| Grace Richie | 6.5% | 10.4% | 18.0% | 23.4% | 23.8% | 17.9% |
| Bella Valente | 6.8% | 10.7% | 19.8% | 23.0% | 23.6% | 16.2% |
| Rita Usmanova | 23.9% | 33.6% | 23.8% | 13.3% | 4.3% | 1.2% |
| Elizaveta Pertseva | 6.2% | 8.9% | 15.6% | 20.5% | 24.6% | 24.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.