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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at San Diego0.41+0.70vs Predicted
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2University of California at San Diego-2.21+2.64vs Predicted
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3University of California at San Diego-1.68+1.10vs Predicted
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4University of California at San Diego-1.58-0.10vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.40-2.54vs Predicted
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6University of California at San Diego-1.86-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.7University of California at San Diego0.4152.8%1st Place
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4.64University of California at San Diego-2.213.9%1st Place
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4.1University of California at San Diego-1.686.3%1st Place
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3.9University of California at San Diego-1.587.2%1st Place
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2.46University of California at San Diego-0.4023.5%1st Place
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4.19University of California at San Diego-1.866.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elsa Engesser | 52.8% | 29.8% | 12.6% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Pless | 3.9% | 6.6% | 11.8% | 16.4% | 22.2% | 39.1% |
| Grace Richie | 6.3% | 9.9% | 15.4% | 23.7% | 24.7% | 20.0% |
| Bella Valente | 7.2% | 11.2% | 21.0% | 21.3% | 23.2% | 16.1% |
| Rita Usmanova | 23.5% | 33.3% | 23.8% | 12.8% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| Elizaveta Pertseva | 6.2% | 9.2% | 15.3% | 22.1% | 23.6% | 23.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.