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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+6.37vs Predicted
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2University of Miami2.32+8.14vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.90+5.14vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.42+6.33vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.73+1.82vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.61+2.03vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.40+3.50vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.89+5.66vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.78+0.70vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-0.17vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.85-2.52vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.75-2.76vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.12-1.95vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-4.71vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-5.88vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.46-6.73vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.38-7.56vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.25-7.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37Harvard University3.058.7%1st Place
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10.14University of Miami2.324.3%1st Place
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8.14Dartmouth College2.906.7%1st Place
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10.33University of Pennsylvania2.424.3%1st Place
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6.82Yale University2.7311.0%1st Place
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8.03Stanford University2.617.5%1st Place
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10.5Boston College2.404.5%1st Place
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13.66Fordham University1.892.2%1st Place
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9.7University of Rhode Island2.785.4%1st Place
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9.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.9%1st Place
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8.48Brown University2.856.4%1st Place
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9.24Georgetown University2.755.5%1st Place
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11.05Tufts University2.123.0%1st Place
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9.29Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.9%1st Place
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9.12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.655.4%1st Place
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9.27Tulane University2.465.0%1st Place
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9.44Bowdoin College2.385.9%1st Place
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10.61U. S. Naval Academy2.253.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% |
| Robert Bragg | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% |
| Jack Egan | 11.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 32.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.4% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Mariner Fagan | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 8.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% |
| Thomas Hall | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% |
| Gavin McJones | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.