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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.90+7.27vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.46+7.19vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.73+3.90vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+5.01vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.05+2.21vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.75+3.02vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+2.23vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.42+2.53vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.40+1.53vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.61-1.77vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.32-1.00vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.25-1.67vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-3.15vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.78-4.37vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.12-4.02vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.89-2.17vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.85-8.40vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College2.38-8.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.27Dartmouth College2.907.3%1st Place
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9.19Tulane University2.466.2%1st Place
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6.9Yale University2.739.0%1st Place
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9.01St. Mary's College of Maryland2.656.6%1st Place
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7.21Harvard University3.059.3%1st Place
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9.02Georgetown University2.757.1%1st Place
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9.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.1%1st Place
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10.53University of Pennsylvania2.423.6%1st Place
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10.53Boston College2.404.5%1st Place
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8.23Stanford University2.616.2%1st Place
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10.0University of Miami2.325.2%1st Place
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10.33U. S. Naval Academy2.254.1%1st Place
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9.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.325.1%1st Place
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9.63University of Rhode Island2.784.3%1st Place
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10.98Tufts University2.123.9%1st Place
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13.83Fordham University1.891.5%1st Place
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8.6Brown University2.856.6%1st Place
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9.66Bowdoin College2.384.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Jack Egan | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Mariner Fagan | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 2.9% |
| Jordan Bruce | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.8% |
| Gavin McJones | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 8.3% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 11.8% | 35.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% |
| Thomas Hall | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.