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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.61+7.12vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+7.07vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.46+5.93vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.75+4.78vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.73+1.97vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.05+1.29vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+1.87vs Predicted
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8Fordham University1.89+5.60vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.90-1.09vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.03+1.84vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.78-1.27vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.40-1.62vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.42-2.74vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.85-5.76vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.12-4.00vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.32-6.22vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-7.11vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.25-7.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.12Stanford University2.617.4%1st Place
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9.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.1%1st Place
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8.93Tulane University2.466.0%1st Place
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8.78Georgetown University2.756.2%1st Place
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6.97Yale University2.739.3%1st Place
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7.29Harvard University3.059.0%1st Place
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8.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.655.9%1st Place
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13.6Fordham University1.891.7%1st Place
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7.91Dartmouth College2.907.8%1st Place
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11.84Bowdoin College2.032.7%1st Place
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9.73University of Rhode Island2.784.7%1st Place
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10.38Boston College2.404.0%1st Place
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10.26University of Pennsylvania2.424.0%1st Place
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8.24Brown University2.857.7%1st Place
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11.0Tufts University2.123.5%1st Place
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9.78University of Miami2.325.0%1st Place
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9.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.324.8%1st Place
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10.35U. S. Naval Academy2.255.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.4% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Mariner Fagan | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% |
| Jack Egan | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 29.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 13.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% |
| Gavin McJones | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.