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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.75+7.82vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32+7.82vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.61+4.98vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.05+3.32vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.73+1.63vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.85+2.19vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.42+3.39vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.90+0.04vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.78+0.60vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.32-0.12vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.03+1.03vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.89+1.51vs Predicted
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13Tulane University2.46-4.04vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-4.68vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.40-4.88vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-7.04vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.12-6.17vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.25-7.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.82Georgetown University2.756.2%1st Place
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9.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.324.8%1st Place
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7.98Stanford University2.617.2%1st Place
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7.32Harvard University3.059.0%1st Place
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6.63Yale University2.7310.5%1st Place
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8.19Brown University2.856.8%1st Place
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10.39University of Pennsylvania2.424.1%1st Place
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8.04Dartmouth College2.906.9%1st Place
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9.6University of Rhode Island2.784.8%1st Place
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9.88University of Miami2.325.1%1st Place
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12.03Bowdoin College2.033.2%1st Place
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13.51Fordham University1.892.2%1st Place
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8.96Tulane University2.466.3%1st Place
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9.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.314.9%1st Place
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10.12Boston College2.404.8%1st Place
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8.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.655.5%1st Place
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10.83Tufts University2.123.7%1st Place
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10.6U. S. Naval Academy2.254.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mariner Fagan | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Jack Egan | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 15.1% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 28.1% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| Sam Bruce | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Michaela O'Brien | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.9% |
| Gavin McJones | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.