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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.90+6.94vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+7.23vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.61+5.03vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.32+5.95vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.75+3.96vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.12+4.91vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.05+0.19vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.73-1.29vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.03+2.82vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.46-1.12vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.89+2.43vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-2.19vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.78-3.63vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.20-4.28vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.42-4.90vs Predicted
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16Brown University2.85-7.63vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-8.03vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy1.89-6.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.94Dartmouth College2.907.8%1st Place
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9.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.1%1st Place
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8.03Stanford University2.617.8%1st Place
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9.95University of Miami2.324.2%1st Place
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8.96Georgetown University2.755.5%1st Place
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10.91Tufts University2.124.0%1st Place
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7.19Harvard University3.058.3%1st Place
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6.71Yale University2.7310.9%1st Place
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11.82Bowdoin College2.032.5%1st Place
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8.88Tulane University2.465.8%1st Place
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13.43Fordham University1.892.1%1st Place
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9.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.324.9%1st Place
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9.37University of Rhode Island2.785.2%1st Place
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9.72Boston College2.205.2%1st Place
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10.1University of Pennsylvania2.423.9%1st Place
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8.37Brown University2.857.2%1st Place
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8.97St. Mary's College of Maryland2.656.0%1st Place
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11.6U. S. Naval Academy1.893.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% |
| Mariner Fagan | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.7% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Jack Egan | 10.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 12.6% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 13.7% | 28.9% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% |
| Jordan Bruce | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Cooper Walshe | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.