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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.90+7.00vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.85+6.28vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.61+4.91vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.20+5.77vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.05+2.19vs Predicted
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6University of Pennsylvania2.42+4.20vs Predicted
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7Tulane University2.46+2.31vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.78+1.46vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.73-2.27vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.12+0.78vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.75-2.25vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-2.87vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.03-1.07vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy1.89-2.44vs Predicted
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15Fordham University1.89-1.43vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-7.25vs Predicted
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17University of Miami2.32-6.89vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.32-8.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.0Dartmouth College2.907.5%1st Place
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8.28Brown University2.856.5%1st Place
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7.91Stanford University2.617.7%1st Place
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9.77Boston College2.204.9%1st Place
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7.19Harvard University3.058.8%1st Place
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10.2University of Pennsylvania2.424.7%1st Place
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9.31Tulane University2.465.1%1st Place
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9.46University of Rhode Island2.785.3%1st Place
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6.73Yale University2.739.4%1st Place
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10.78Tufts University2.124.2%1st Place
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8.75Georgetown University2.756.3%1st Place
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9.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.8%1st Place
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11.93Bowdoin College2.032.7%1st Place
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11.56U. S. Naval Academy1.893.6%1st Place
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13.57Fordham University1.891.9%1st Place
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8.75St. Mary's College of Maryland2.656.5%1st Place
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10.11University of Miami2.324.5%1st Place
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9.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.324.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Bragg | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Jack Egan | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.3% |
| Mariner Fagan | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 14.1% |
| Cooper Walshe | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.2% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 29.8% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% |
| Nicholas Reeser | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.