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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.05+5.95vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+8.15vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.20+6.87vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.85+4.35vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.75+3.87vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.78+3.63vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.03+4.86vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.61+0.01vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.42+1.22vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.12+1.00vs Predicted
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11University of Miami2.32-1.15vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-2.96vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-4.12vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.89-0.52vs Predicted
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15Yale University2.73-8.21vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.25-5.29vs Predicted
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17Tulane University2.46-7.91vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.90-9.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95Harvard University3.058.6%1st Place
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10.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.5%1st Place
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9.87Boston College2.204.4%1st Place
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8.35Brown University2.856.7%1st Place
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8.87Georgetown University2.756.2%1st Place
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9.63University of Rhode Island2.784.7%1st Place
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11.86Bowdoin College2.033.8%1st Place
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8.01Stanford University2.617.4%1st Place
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10.22University of Pennsylvania2.424.5%1st Place
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11.0Tufts University2.123.5%1st Place
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9.85University of Miami2.324.0%1st Place
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9.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.1%1st Place
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8.88St. Mary's College of Maryland2.656.6%1st Place
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13.48Fordham University1.892.4%1st Place
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6.79Yale University2.739.7%1st Place
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10.71U. S. Naval Academy2.253.6%1st Place
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9.09Tulane University2.465.8%1st Place
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8.25Dartmouth College2.906.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% |
| Mariner Fagan | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 14.6% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.8% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.4% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 30.1% |
| Jack Egan | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Gavin McJones | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.9% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% |
| Robert Bragg | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.