Race 1A

fj-invitational-day-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor Brady 19.2% 16.6% 15.6% 17.1% 12.4% 9.4% 6.6% 2.7% 0.4% 0.0%
Laura Dunphy 8.0% 12.5% 14.2% 13.5% 14.5% 15.8% 10.2% 8.8% 2.5% 0.0%
Margaret Bacon 7.4% 7.2% 10.9% 9.6% 12.8% 15.5% 17.4% 13.9% 5.3% 0.0%
James Moody 14.9% 15.2% 15.0% 15.7% 13.9% 10.5% 9.8% 3.9% 1.1% 0.0%
Nathan Allman 23.3% 20.9% 14.6% 11.9% 12.7% 7.3% 6.2% 2.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Rosalind Lesh 16.1% 15.7% 16.6% 15.3% 13.8% 11.6% 6.6% 3.6% 0.7% 0.0%
James Moody 14.9% 15.2% 15.0% 15.7% 13.9% 10.5% 9.8% 3.9% 1.1% 0.0%
Luke Orchardo 5.8% 6.1% 6.7% 9.4% 10.9% 16.0% 20.3% 15.3% 9.5% 0.0%
Matthew Clarida 2.9% 3.3% 2.8% 4.8% 4.7% 7.2% 12.6% 26.0% 35.7% 0.0%
Ann Sager 2.4% 2.5% 3.6% 2.7% 4.3% 6.7% 10.3% 23.2% 44.3% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.