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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73+3.46vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03+2.04vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.90+1.11vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.06+1.66vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.04+2.32vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.17-2.51vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.32-1.74vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.27-4.58vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.90-4.89vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.20-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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4.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.1%1st Place
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4.11Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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5.66Northeastern University2.060.1%1st Place
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7.32University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
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3.49University of South Florida3.170.2%1st Place
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5.26Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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3.42Brown University3.270.2%1st Place
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4.11Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.26Harvard University1.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Dunphy | 12.1% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 13.1% | 15.8% | 15.1% | 16.4% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 14.9% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Luke Orchardo | 6.0% | 6.3% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 14.2% | 17.1% | 17.3% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| Ann Sager | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 12.1% | 20.5% | 41.8% | 0.0% |
| Connor Brady | 19.3% | 18.5% | 17.5% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Bacon | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 17.0% | 13.1% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 21.3% | 19.4% | 15.7% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 14.9% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Clarida | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 12.9% | 25.0% | 37.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.