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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.61+6.97vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.75+7.17vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.85+5.24vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.05+3.04vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.78+4.49vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.73+0.83vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.03+4.98vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+2.27vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.12+1.93vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.46-0.97vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.89+2.57vs Predicted
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12Boston College2.20-2.12vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.90-5.11vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.42-3.77vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-6.04vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-6.94vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy2.25-6.48vs Predicted
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18University of Miami2.32-8.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.97Stanford University2.616.9%1st Place
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9.17Georgetown University2.755.3%1st Place
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8.24Brown University2.857.2%1st Place
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7.04Harvard University3.059.0%1st Place
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9.49University of Rhode Island2.785.6%1st Place
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6.83Yale University2.7310.0%1st Place
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11.98Bowdoin College2.033.4%1st Place
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10.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.173.6%1st Place
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10.93Tufts University2.123.8%1st Place
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9.03Tulane University2.465.6%1st Place
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13.57Fordham University1.892.4%1st Place
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9.88Boston College2.205.0%1st Place
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7.89Dartmouth College2.907.8%1st Place
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10.23University of Pennsylvania2.424.0%1st Place
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8.96St. Mary's College of Maryland2.655.5%1st Place
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9.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.315.1%1st Place
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10.52U. S. Naval Academy2.254.3%1st Place
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9.93University of Miami2.325.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Mariner Fagan | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Jack Egan | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 15.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 30.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% |
| Leo Boucher | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Sam Bruce | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Gavin McJones | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.