Race 8B

delaware-spring-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jared Cohen 17.9% 16.9% 16.7% 15.1% 12.5% 10.2% 5.5% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1%
Ernest Glukhov 15.3% 12.8% 13.2% 14.4% 13.9% 11.4% 9.3% 6.7% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Ryan Ververs 22.1% 19.4% 16.4% 13.4% 11.2% 8.1% 5.6% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Conor Farah 6.9% 8.2% 8.4% 9.7% 11.3% 13.9% 16.4% 12.2% 8.3% 3.7% 1.0%
Alexander Pfeffer 13.7% 12.6% 13.5% 12.6% 13.1% 12.6% 11.7% 6.3% 3.1% 0.9% 0.1%
Erich Laughlin 7.5% 9.8% 8.8% 12.2% 11.5% 14.6% 13.3% 11.4% 7.2% 3.2% 0.5%
James Cottage 10.8% 13.0% 13.0% 12.3% 13.5% 13.0% 11.8% 7.0% 4.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Laura Jayne 1.8% 2.1% 2.2% 3.0% 3.8% 4.7% 7.8% 11.9% 18.4% 24.6% 19.7%
Ian Kaplan 1.8% 2.2% 3.4% 3.1% 4.2% 4.5% 6.3% 14.8% 19.2% 22.5% 17.8%
Phillip Furlong 1.5% 2.1% 2.8% 2.7% 3.4% 5.0% 7.4% 15.0% 21.1% 21.5% 17.5%
Sebastian Bustamante 0.7% 1.0% 1.7% 1.4% 1.7% 2.1% 4.6% 8.0% 14.0% 21.9% 43.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.