Race 3A

fj-invitational-day-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor Brady 19.2% 16.4% 16.8% 15.4% 12.3% 9.7% 6.2% 3.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Margaret Bacon 6.4% 7.4% 10.0% 10.7% 11.8% 14.9% 17.3% 15.9% 5.6% 0.0%
Laura Dunphy 11.8% 12.8% 12.0% 12.9% 15.1% 14.2% 11.4% 7.5% 2.3% 0.0%
James Moody 15.2% 15.3% 15.2% 13.4% 14.2% 12.4% 7.7% 5.3% 1.3% 0.0%
Matthew Clarida 2.5% 2.8% 4.0% 5.9% 5.9% 10.0% 11.9% 22.5% 34.5% 0.0%
Nathan Allman 20.7% 20.3% 16.6% 14.5% 11.7% 8.0% 5.6% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0%
James Moody 15.2% 15.3% 15.2% 13.4% 14.2% 12.4% 7.7% 5.3% 1.3% 0.0%
Ann Sager 2.4% 3.0% 1.9% 3.8% 3.6% 6.7% 12.2% 20.8% 45.6% 0.0%
Rosalind Lesh 15.2% 17.1% 14.5% 13.8% 14.5% 9.6% 9.4% 4.6% 1.3% 0.0%
Luke Orchardo 6.6% 4.9% 9.0% 9.6% 10.9% 14.5% 18.3% 17.5% 8.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.