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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+9.10vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.61+5.94vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.73+3.73vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.75+5.26vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.12+6.01vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+2.93vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.89+6.34vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.90-0.03vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.42+1.02vs Predicted
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10University of Miami2.32-0.03vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.78-1.62vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.03-0.15vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.85-4.68vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.20-4.03vs Predicted
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15Tulane University2.46-5.94vs Predicted
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16Harvard University3.05-8.72vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-7.85vs Predicted
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18U. S. Naval Academy2.25-7.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.174.5%1st Place
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7.94Stanford University2.616.9%1st Place
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6.73Yale University2.7310.6%1st Place
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9.26Georgetown University2.755.7%1st Place
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11.01Tufts University2.123.2%1st Place
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8.93St. Mary's College of Maryland2.656.9%1st Place
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13.34Fordham University1.892.1%1st Place
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7.97Dartmouth College2.907.8%1st Place
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10.02University of Pennsylvania2.424.9%1st Place
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9.97University of Miami2.325.1%1st Place
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9.38University of Rhode Island2.784.8%1st Place
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11.85Bowdoin College2.032.5%1st Place
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8.32Brown University2.856.5%1st Place
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9.97Boston College2.204.0%1st Place
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9.06Tulane University2.465.0%1st Place
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7.28Harvard University3.058.9%1st Place
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9.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.6%1st Place
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10.7U. S. Naval Academy2.254.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Unangst | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 4.9% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% |
| Jack Egan | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Mariner Fagan | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 28.7% |
| Robert Bragg | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 13.4% |
| Connor Nelson | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% |
| Gavin McJones | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.