Race 4A

fj-invitational-day-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Matthew Clarida 3.0% 2.5% 3.2% 4.0% 5.5% 7.6% 13.3% 24.6% 36.3% 0.0%
Nathan Allman 15.9% 20.6% 16.6% 16.0% 13.3% 8.3% 6.3% 2.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Connor Brady 18.8% 16.1% 17.1% 13.5% 12.9% 12.0% 6.5% 2.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Rosalind Lesh 17.7% 15.5% 16.0% 15.9% 10.9% 11.0% 8.0% 4.3% 0.7% 0.0%
Laura Dunphy 12.8% 14.0% 13.8% 14.3% 12.1% 12.9% 10.7% 7.1% 2.3% 0.0%
James Moody 14.3% 13.6% 14.9% 14.4% 14.6% 13.2% 8.7% 4.7% 1.6% 0.0%
Ann Sager 2.6% 2.6% 1.9% 3.0% 5.2% 6.0% 11.7% 22.6% 44.4% 0.0%
James Moody 14.3% 13.6% 14.9% 14.4% 14.6% 13.2% 8.7% 4.7% 1.6% 0.0%
Luke Orchardo 6.5% 6.9% 7.4% 8.8% 11.0% 15.3% 16.8% 18.2% 9.1% 0.0%
Margaret Bacon 8.4% 8.2% 9.1% 10.1% 14.5% 13.7% 18.0% 13.5% 4.5% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.