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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.90+3.12vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.17+1.74vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.27+0.41vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.32+1.15vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire1.04+2.31vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.73-1.62vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.06-1.20vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.20-0.76vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.90-4.88vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.03-6.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.12Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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3.74University of South Florida3.170.2%1st Place
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3.41Brown University3.270.2%1st Place
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5.15Tufts University2.320.1%1st Place
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7.31University of New Hampshire1.040.0%1st Place
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4.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.730.1%1st Place
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5.8Northeastern University2.060.1%1st Place
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7.24Harvard University1.200.0%1st Place
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4.12Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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3.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.030.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Moody | 14.5% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Connor Brady | 15.7% | 18.7% | 15.5% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 21.4% | 19.1% | 16.8% | 12.5% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Margaret Bacon | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 5.2% | 0.0% |
| Ann Sager | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 22.5% | 41.6% | 0.0% |
| Laura Dunphy | 12.3% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 13.4% | 11.5% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Luke Orchardo | 6.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 20.4% | 18.5% | 8.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Clarida | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 23.4% | 38.1% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 14.5% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Rosalind Lesh | 17.3% | 15.9% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 14.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.