Race 6A

fj-invitational-day-2

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Connor Brady 18.6% 18.2% 14.9% 15.9% 12.8% 10.2% 5.9% 3.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Rosalind Lesh 13.3% 16.1% 14.9% 15.8% 12.9% 12.1% 9.4% 4.0% 1.5% 0.0%
James Moody 13.8% 13.7% 15.2% 13.3% 15.2% 12.2% 9.2% 6.1% 1.3% 0.0%
Matthew Clarida 2.6% 3.5% 3.0% 5.0% 6.3% 7.3% 12.6% 25.9% 33.8% 0.0%
Laura Dunphy 13.1% 13.4% 15.9% 11.0% 12.6% 13.7% 10.4% 7.0% 2.9% 0.0%
Nathan Allman 20.4% 19.8% 17.2% 14.5% 12.1% 8.6% 5.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Margaret Bacon 8.1% 7.3% 8.6% 11.5% 13.4% 16.2% 17.5% 11.9% 5.5% 0.0%
James Moody 13.8% 13.7% 15.2% 13.3% 15.2% 12.2% 9.2% 6.1% 1.3% 0.0%
Ann Sager 2.8% 2.4% 3.2% 3.2% 4.0% 6.9% 10.4% 22.0% 45.1% 0.0%
Luke Orchardo 7.3% 5.6% 7.1% 9.8% 10.7% 12.8% 19.6% 17.9% 9.2% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.