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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.91+6.06vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.22+7.04vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.42+3.98vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.08+7.13vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+7.03vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.30+0.08vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania1.60+5.34vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57+0.67vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-0.94vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.21+2.39vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.18-5.33vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.41-2.23vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.60-4.69vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.62-1.56vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.75-7.58vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.81-3.89vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.56-7.18vs Predicted
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18University of Miami1.93-6.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.06Brown University2.918.7%1st Place
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9.04Tufts University2.225.6%1st Place
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6.98Yale University2.4210.4%1st Place
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11.13Bowdoin College2.082.6%1st Place
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12.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.132.1%1st Place
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6.08Stanford University3.3010.7%1st Place
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12.34University of Pennsylvania1.602.8%1st Place
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8.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.3%1st Place
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8.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.486.9%1st Place
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12.39Tulane University2.212.5%1st Place
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5.67Harvard University3.1812.1%1st Place
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9.77Georgetown University2.414.8%1st Place
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8.31U. S. Naval Academy2.606.3%1st Place
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12.44Fordham University1.622.4%1st Place
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7.42Dartmouth College2.757.7%1st Place
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12.11University of Rhode Island1.812.9%1st Place
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9.82Boston College2.563.3%1st Place
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11.67University of Miami1.932.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam O'Keefe | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Lukens | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% |
| Dana Haig | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 12.8% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Gavula | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 13.6% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 13.7% |
| Justin Callahan | 12.1% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Scott Mais | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% |
| Nathan Smith | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Patrick Dolan | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 13.4% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 13.5% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% |
| Aidan Dennis | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.