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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.54+0.96vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.59+0.95vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.54-1.04vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.82-1.34vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.39-1.83vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.28-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96Tufts University2.540.5%1st Place
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2.95Harvard University1.590.2%1st Place
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1.96Tufts University2.540.5%1st Place
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2.66Brown University1.820.2%1st Place
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3.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.390.1%1st Place
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4.26University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Meade | 45.7% | 26.4% | 16.8% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Ansel Duff | 15.7% | 21.9% | 25.4% | 26.0% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Meade | 45.7% | 26.4% | 16.8% | 8.3% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Reid Secondo | 21.2% | 26.3% | 24.1% | 22.0% | 6.4% | 0.0% |
| Cali Warner | 13.0% | 18.6% | 23.6% | 28.2% | 16.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Angione | 4.4% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 15.5% | 63.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.