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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.91+6.06vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.22+7.22vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.42+3.86vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.30+2.17vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.41+4.84vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.18-0.28vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.08+3.87vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.81+4.21vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-0.34vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.75-2.45vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.21+1.42vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.60+0.38vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.60-4.51vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.62-1.69vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.56-5.31vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-8.17vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13-4.97vs Predicted
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18University of Miami1.93-6.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.06Brown University2.918.4%1st Place
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9.22Tufts University2.225.8%1st Place
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6.86Yale University2.429.8%1st Place
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6.17Stanford University3.309.6%1st Place
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9.84Georgetown University2.414.7%1st Place
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5.72Harvard University3.1812.8%1st Place
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10.87Bowdoin College2.083.1%1st Place
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12.21University of Rhode Island1.812.6%1st Place
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8.66St. Mary's College of Maryland2.576.2%1st Place
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7.55Dartmouth College2.757.6%1st Place
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12.42Tulane University2.212.6%1st Place
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12.38University of Pennsylvania1.602.4%1st Place
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8.49U. S. Naval Academy2.605.7%1st Place
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12.31Fordham University1.622.1%1st Place
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9.69Boston College2.563.8%1st Place
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7.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.0%1st Place
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12.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.132.7%1st Place
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11.69University of Miami1.933.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam O'Keefe | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 9.6% | 12.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Scott Mais | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% |
| Justin Callahan | 12.8% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.6% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 14.5% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 15.2% |
| Samuel Gavula | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 13.4% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Patrick Dolan | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 13.0% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Dana Haig | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 13.2% | 11.8% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.