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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.30+5.15vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.18+3.85vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.21+9.49vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.08+6.75vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.22+4.16vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.91+0.83vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.81+5.06vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+3.98vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.42-1.94vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.41-0.46vs Predicted
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11University of Miami1.93+0.42vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-3.92vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.62-0.72vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.60-5.49vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania1.60-2.52vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.75-8.48vs Predicted
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17Boston College2.02-6.87vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-9.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.15Stanford University3.3011.8%1st Place
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5.85Harvard University3.1812.6%1st Place
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12.49Tulane University2.211.9%1st Place
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10.75Bowdoin College2.083.8%1st Place
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9.16Tufts University2.224.2%1st Place
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6.83Brown University2.919.1%1st Place
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12.06University of Rhode Island1.812.5%1st Place
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11.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.132.5%1st Place
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7.06Yale University2.429.0%1st Place
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9.54Georgetown University2.414.3%1st Place
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11.42University of Miami1.933.1%1st Place
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8.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.486.7%1st Place
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12.28Fordham University1.622.2%1st Place
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8.51U. S. Naval Academy2.605.5%1st Place
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12.48University of Pennsylvania1.601.9%1st Place
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7.52Dartmouth College2.758.8%1st Place
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10.13Boston College2.024.4%1st Place
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8.73St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 11.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Justin Callahan | 12.6% | 10.8% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 15.0% |
| Christopher Lukens | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 5.5% |
| Ben Mueller | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 13.2% |
| Dana Haig | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 12.7% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Scott Mais | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Patrick Dolan | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 14.2% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Samuel Gavula | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 15.4% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Jack Redmond | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.