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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.39+2.16vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.54-0.07vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.54-1.07vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.82-1.32vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.59-2.05vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.28-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.390.1%1st Place
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1.93Tufts University2.540.4%1st Place
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1.93Tufts University2.540.4%1st Place
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2.68Brown University1.820.2%1st Place
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2.95Harvard University1.590.2%1st Place
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4.29University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cali Warner | 14.1% | 17.4% | 24.2% | 26.9% | 17.4% | 0.0% |
| Colin Meade | 44.5% | 28.1% | 19.0% | 7.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin Meade | 44.5% | 28.1% | 19.0% | 7.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Reid Secondo | 22.1% | 24.2% | 24.4% | 22.2% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| Ansel Duff | 15.9% | 22.9% | 22.8% | 27.3% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Angione | 3.4% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 16.4% | 63.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.