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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.39+2.15vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.54-0.08vs Predicted
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3Brown University1.82-0.30vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.54-2.08vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.28-0.72vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.59-3.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.390.1%1st Place
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1.92Tufts University2.540.4%1st Place
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2.7Brown University1.820.2%1st Place
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1.92Tufts University2.540.4%1st Place
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4.28University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
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2.95Harvard University1.590.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cali Warner | 14.4% | 18.1% | 21.7% | 29.4% | 16.4% | 0.0% |
| Colin Meade | 44.6% | 28.9% | 17.7% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Reid Secondo | 20.6% | 25.4% | 26.1% | 19.7% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin Meade | 44.6% | 28.9% | 17.7% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Angione | 4.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 19.8% | 61.2% | 0.0% |
| Ansel Duff | 16.3% | 21.3% | 25.9% | 23.8% | 12.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.