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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.75+6.60vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.30+4.04vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.08+8.06vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.62+8.28vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.42+1.81vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+1.88vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.18-1.04vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.91-1.02vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.02+1.23vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.22-0.80vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania1.60+1.22vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.21+0.17vs Predicted
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13University of Miami1.93-1.26vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.60-5.71vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.41-5.23vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-7.34vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13-5.10vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.81-5.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.6Dartmouth College2.757.2%1st Place
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6.04Stanford University3.3011.7%1st Place
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11.06Bowdoin College2.083.4%1st Place
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12.28Fordham University1.621.9%1st Place
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6.81Yale University2.429.6%1st Place
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7.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.486.6%1st Place
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5.96Harvard University3.1811.5%1st Place
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6.98Brown University2.918.9%1st Place
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10.23Boston College2.024.2%1st Place
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9.2Tufts University2.225.0%1st Place
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12.22University of Pennsylvania1.602.5%1st Place
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12.17Tulane University2.212.5%1st Place
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11.74University of Miami1.933.0%1st Place
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8.29U. S. Naval Academy2.606.6%1st Place
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9.77Georgetown University2.414.7%1st Place
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8.66St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.5%1st Place
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11.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.133.4%1st Place
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12.21University of Rhode Island1.812.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 11.7% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.3% |
| Patrick Dolan | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 14.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.6% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Colman Schofield | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Justin Callahan | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jack Redmond | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Samuel Gavula | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 13.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 15.7% |
| Aidan Dennis | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.2% |
| Nathan Smith | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Scott Mais | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Dana Haig | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 11.8% |
| Joshua Bartoszuk | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.