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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.54+0.96vs Predicted
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2Harvard University1.59+0.93vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.39+0.16vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.82-1.31vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.54-3.04vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire0.28-1.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96Tufts University2.540.5%1st Place
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2.93Harvard University1.590.2%1st Place
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3.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.390.1%1st Place
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2.69Brown University1.820.2%1st Place
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1.96Tufts University2.540.5%1st Place
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4.26University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Meade | 45.3% | 27.0% | 16.8% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Ansel Duff | 15.9% | 22.7% | 25.8% | 24.0% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Cali Warner | 13.9% | 17.3% | 23.2% | 30.3% | 15.3% | 0.0% |
| Reid Secondo | 20.7% | 26.0% | 24.7% | 20.9% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Colin Meade | 45.3% | 27.0% | 16.8% | 8.0% | 2.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Angione | 4.2% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 16.8% | 62.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.