← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College2.08+9.63vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+6.13vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University3.18+2.83vs Predicted
-
4Boston College2.56+5.74vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College2.75+2.45vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University3.30+0.11vs Predicted
-
7Yale University2.42-0.24vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University2.22+1.07vs Predicted
-
9Fordham University1.62+3.10vs Predicted
-
10Brown University2.91-3.11vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University2.41-1.40vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+0.01vs Predicted
-
13Tulane University2.21-0.54vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-5.51vs Predicted
-
15University of Pennsylvania1.60-2.78vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Naval Academy2.60-7.47vs Predicted
-
17University of Miami1.93-5.18vs Predicted
-
18University of Rhode Island1.38-4.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
10.63Bowdoin College2.084.1%1st Place
-
8.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.485.9%1st Place
-
5.83Harvard University3.1812.5%1st Place
-
9.74Boston College2.564.8%1st Place
-
7.45Dartmouth College2.757.6%1st Place
-
6.11Stanford University3.3011.5%1st Place
-
6.76Yale University2.429.3%1st Place
-
9.07Tufts University2.225.0%1st Place
-
12.1Fordham University1.623.0%1st Place
-
6.89Brown University2.918.9%1st Place
-
9.6Georgetown University2.414.2%1st Place
-
12.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.132.3%1st Place
-
12.46Tulane University2.213.1%1st Place
-
8.49St. Mary's College of Maryland2.576.0%1st Place
-
12.22University of Pennsylvania1.601.8%1st Place
-
8.53U. S. Naval Academy2.605.9%1st Place
-
11.82University of Miami1.932.5%1st Place
-
13.14University of Rhode Island1.381.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Lukens | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% |
| Colman Schofield | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Justin Callahan | 12.5% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 11.5% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.8% |
| Patrick Dolan | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 12.0% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Scott Mais | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| Dana Haig | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 14.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Samuel Gavula | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 13.3% |
| Nathan Smith | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Dennis | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.2% |
| Jonathan Riley | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 21.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.