← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.91+5.87vs Predicted
-
2Boston College2.56+7.64vs Predicted
-
3Georgetown University2.41+6.64vs Predicted
-
4Yale University2.42+2.98vs Predicted
-
5Tulane University2.21+7.26vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University2.22+3.10vs Predicted
-
7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+5.11vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University1.62+4.22vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College2.75-1.45vs Predicted
-
10Harvard University3.18-4.14vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-3.18vs Predicted
-
12Stanford University3.30-6.00vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island1.38+0.18vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-5.41vs Predicted
-
15University of Miami1.93-3.02vs Predicted
-
16Bowdoin College2.08-5.27vs Predicted
-
17University of Pennsylvania1.60-4.86vs Predicted
-
18U. S. Naval Academy2.60-9.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.87Brown University2.918.3%1st Place
-
9.64Boston College2.564.5%1st Place
-
9.64Georgetown University2.413.9%1st Place
-
6.98Yale University2.428.7%1st Place
-
12.26Tulane University2.212.5%1st Place
-
9.1Tufts University2.226.0%1st Place
-
12.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.132.5%1st Place
-
12.22Fordham University1.622.2%1st Place
-
7.55Dartmouth College2.758.3%1st Place
-
5.86Harvard University3.1811.6%1st Place
-
7.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.487.0%1st Place
-
6.0Stanford University3.3013.0%1st Place
-
13.18University of Rhode Island1.381.8%1st Place
-
8.59St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.4%1st Place
-
11.98University of Miami1.931.9%1st Place
-
10.73Bowdoin College2.084.0%1st Place
-
12.14University of Pennsylvania1.602.3%1st Place
-
8.33U. S. Naval Academy2.606.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam O'Keefe | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% |
| Scott Mais | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| Carmen Cowles | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.4% | 13.8% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Dana Haig | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 11.3% |
| Patrick Dolan | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 12.1% | 11.8% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Justin Callahan | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Colman Schofield | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 13.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Riley | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 13.4% | 21.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Aidan Dennis | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.0% |
| Samuel Gavula | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 13.6% |
| Nathan Smith | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.