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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.54+0.93vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.39+1.17vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.59-0.08vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.54-2.07vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire0.28-0.71vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.82-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.93Tufts University2.540.5%1st Place
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3.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.390.1%1st Place
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2.92Harvard University1.590.2%1st Place
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1.93Tufts University2.540.5%1st Place
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4.29University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
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2.69Brown University1.820.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Meade | 46.1% | 27.8% | 15.9% | 7.9% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Cali Warner | 11.9% | 18.8% | 24.9% | 29.5% | 14.9% | 0.0% |
| Ansel Duff | 17.4% | 20.6% | 25.8% | 24.5% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| Colin Meade | 46.1% | 27.8% | 15.9% | 7.9% | 2.3% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Angione | 3.7% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 17.3% | 62.8% | 0.0% |
| Reid Secondo | 20.9% | 26.4% | 23.6% | 20.8% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.