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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.39+2.15vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.82+0.67vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.54-1.07vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.28+0.29vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.59-2.04vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.54-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.390.1%1st Place
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2.67Brown University1.820.2%1st Place
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1.93Tufts University2.540.5%1st Place
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4.29University of New Hampshire0.280.0%1st Place
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2.96Harvard University1.590.2%1st Place
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1.93Tufts University2.540.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cali Warner | 14.1% | 18.1% | 22.7% | 28.5% | 16.6% | 0.0% |
| Reid Secondo | 20.3% | 26.2% | 26.8% | 19.5% | 7.2% | 0.0% |
| Colin Meade | 45.7% | 26.6% | 18.5% | 7.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Angione | 4.3% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 19.9% | 61.8% | 0.0% |
| Ansel Duff | 15.6% | 23.3% | 23.8% | 24.6% | 12.7% | 0.0% |
| Colin Meade | 45.7% | 26.6% | 18.5% | 7.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.