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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48+6.89vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.18+3.61vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.22+5.95vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.13+7.84vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.41+4.63vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.62+6.02vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.75+0.56vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.56+1.67vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.21+3.20vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.08+0.73vs Predicted
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11University of Miami1.64+1.58vs Predicted
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12Stanford University3.30-5.95vs Predicted
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13Yale University2.42-5.93vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.91-7.04vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.57-6.38vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.60-7.55vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania1.60-4.81vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island1.38-5.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.486.1%1st Place
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5.61Harvard University3.1812.7%1st Place
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8.95Tufts University2.225.1%1st Place
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11.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.132.6%1st Place
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9.63Georgetown University2.415.1%1st Place
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12.02Fordham University1.621.9%1st Place
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7.56Dartmouth College2.757.1%1st Place
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9.67Boston College2.564.0%1st Place
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12.2Tulane University2.213.1%1st Place
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10.73Bowdoin College2.083.7%1st Place
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12.58University of Miami1.642.1%1st Place
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6.05Stanford University3.3011.1%1st Place
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7.07Yale University2.429.0%1st Place
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6.96Brown University2.919.7%1st Place
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8.62St. Mary's College of Maryland2.575.9%1st Place
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8.45U. S. Naval Academy2.606.3%1st Place
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12.19University of Pennsylvania1.602.5%1st Place
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12.99University of Rhode Island1.381.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colman Schofield | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Justin Callahan | 12.7% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Ben Mueller | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Dana Haig | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.5% |
| Scott Mais | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Patrick Dolan | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 12.4% |
| Maddie Hawkins | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Colleen O'Brien | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Ciara Rodriguez-Horan | 3.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 13.1% |
| Christopher Lukens | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% |
| Steven Hardee | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 14.4% |
| Vanessa Lahrkamp | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Liam O'Keefe | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Owen Hennessey | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Nathan Smith | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Samuel Gavula | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 12.2% |
| Jonathan Riley | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 13.1% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.