Race 9B

delaware-spring-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Jared Cohen 22.1% 19.6% 16.4% 15.8% 12.6% 8.6% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1%
Lucas Randle 10.6% 11.1% 12.6% 12.3% 16.1% 16.1% 12.2% 6.1% 2.5% 0.5%
Ernest Glukhov 17.5% 16.2% 16.0% 15.7% 14.1% 11.2% 6.1% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Alexander Read 19.9% 21.5% 16.7% 15.7% 12.2% 8.6% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
James Cottage 12.7% 13.3% 15.7% 14.3% 14.1% 13.5% 10.2% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2%
Phillip Furlong 2.1% 2.8% 3.6% 4.5% 6.7% 8.6% 14.8% 20.5% 21.6% 14.9%
Erich Laughlin 10.5% 10.9% 12.6% 13.4% 13.0% 15.8% 12.3% 8.6% 2.4% 0.7%
Sebastian Bustamante 0.9% 0.9% 1.5% 2.1% 3.2% 4.2% 9.9% 15.7% 22.4% 39.4%
Laura Jayne 2.5% 2.2% 2.5% 3.0% 4.7% 7.8% 14.7% 19.1% 22.9% 20.5%
Alexander Deas 1.2% 1.6% 2.6% 3.2% 3.2% 5.9% 11.9% 20.7% 26.1% 23.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.