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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University4.31+5.21vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.19+4.74vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.81+5.26vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.68+4.75vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University3.84+2.95vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.43+0.13vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.62+1.98vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.53+4.61vs Predicted
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9Brown University4.25-2.19vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-2.20vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.59-1.71vs Predicted
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12Harvard University4.17-5.09vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College4.05-5.57vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut2.62-1.34vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-5.68vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.70-3.62vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire1.81-2.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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6.74Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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8.26Tufts University3.810.1%1st Place
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8.75Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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7.95Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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6.13Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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8.98University of Vermont3.620.1%1st Place
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12.61Boston University2.530.0%1st Place
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6.81Brown University4.250.1%1st Place
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7.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.29University of Rhode Island3.590.1%1st Place
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6.91Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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7.43Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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12.66University of Connecticut2.620.0%1st Place
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9.32U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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12.38Bowdoin College2.700.0%1st Place
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14.76University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Bouchard | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.5% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Criezis | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Maggie Shea | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Clancy | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Anne Haeger | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Coleman Bowen | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 0.7% |
| Mathew Renik | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 13.7% | 17.1% | 17.9% |
| William Brown | 7.1% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Mike Warren | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.7% |
| John Stokes | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Peter Giuliano | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 18.1% | 15.2% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Billy Rohman | 2.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 14.4% | 15.8% | 12.6% |
| Neal Drake | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 10.3% | 17.1% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.