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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.47+7.89vs Predicted
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2Tufts University4.08+4.44vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.18+7.24vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.69+3.90vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.52+3.89vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University3.36+3.25vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College3.24+2.90vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+3.83vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.38+0.01vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.03+0.65vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.55-6.24vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.16-1.41vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont3.41-4.17vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan2.86-2.38vs Predicted
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15Washington College2.45-2.04vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.87-4.67vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.32-0.42vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.64-5.73vs Predicted
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19Boston College3.55-10.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.89Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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6.44Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.24Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.9Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.89Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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9.25Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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9.9Eckerd College3.240.1%1st Place
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11.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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9.01U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
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10.65Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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4.76Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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10.59Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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8.83University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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11.62University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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12.96Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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11.33University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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16.58Cornell University1.320.0%1st Place
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12.27Connecticut College2.640.0%1st Place
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8.08Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Needham | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| William Haeger | 11.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| John Renehan | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% |
| Judge Ryan | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Kyle Carney | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Wesley Byrne | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 4.8% |
| Taylor Vann | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Ian Towill | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Graham Landy | 15.7% | 15.0% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Graham | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 4.2% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 10.8% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.2% |
| Bradley Barth | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 53.7% |
| Timothy Clark | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 7.1% |
| Ryan Mullins | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.