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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.85+6.43vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.46+6.47vs Predicted
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3Webb Institute1.73+6.53vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.79+6.02vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.42+4.38vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+2.07vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.25+2.62vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.12+1.91vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.40-1.04vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.73-3.81vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.38-2.74vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-3.64vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University1.78-2.04vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.53-1.68vs Predicted
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15University of Miami2.32-5.76vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University-1.38-4.11vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida1.54-4.34vs Predicted
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18George Washington University1.82-7.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.43Brown University2.857.1%1st Place
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8.47Tulane University2.466.6%1st Place
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9.53Webb Institute1.735.2%1st Place
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10.02Boston University1.794.7%1st Place
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9.38University of Pennsylvania2.425.6%1st Place
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8.07St. Mary's College of Maryland2.656.9%1st Place
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9.62U. S. Naval Academy2.254.9%1st Place
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9.91Tufts University2.125.2%1st Place
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7.96Roger Williams University2.408.0%1st Place
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6.19Yale University2.7310.2%1st Place
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8.26Cornell University2.387.1%1st Place
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8.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.4%1st Place
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10.96North Carolina State University1.783.4%1st Place
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12.32Fordham University1.532.8%1st Place
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9.24University of Miami2.324.9%1st Place
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11.89Jacksonville University-1.382.7%1st Place
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12.66University of South Florida1.542.4%1st Place
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10.73George Washington University1.824.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% |
| Rayne Duff | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.2% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Gavin McJones | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Trevor Davis | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Jack Egan | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Bridget Green | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Adam Larson | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.2% |
| Michael Burns | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 17.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% |
| Emily Allen | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 13.4% |
| Eden Nykamp | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 20.7% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.