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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+5.32vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.38+7.24vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.47+5.94vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.16+6.19vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.55-0.11vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College3.52+2.62vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University3.36+2.28vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.18+2.35vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.69-1.25vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.64+2.34vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College3.24-1.19vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.55-3.17vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-1.57vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.87-2.45vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan2.86-3.64vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.41-7.06vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.03-6.33vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.32-1.28vs Predicted
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19Washington College2.45-6.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
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8.94Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.19Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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4.89Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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8.62Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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9.28Salve Regina University3.360.0%1st Place
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10.35Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.75Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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12.34Connecticut College2.640.0%1st Place
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9.81Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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8.83Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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11.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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11.55University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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11.36University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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8.94University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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10.67Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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16.72Cornell University1.320.0%1st Place
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12.77Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 9.7% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Vann | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Connor Needham | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Gram Slattery | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Graham Landy | 15.4% | 13.4% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Kyle Carney | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| John Renehan | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 2.4% |
| Judge Ryan | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Timothy Clark | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 5.7% |
| Wesley Byrne | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Mullins | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 4.8% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 4.6% |
| Matthew Graham | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 5.7% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Ian Towill | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| Bradley Barth | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 54.5% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 14.3% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.