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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.38+7.13vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+5.91vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.75+4.65vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.89+8.28vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College2.51+3.24vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.05+0.06vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.23+3.46vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.61-1.17vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.78-0.74vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.95+0.96vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.20-2.48vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.38-3.79vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-3.44vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-5.24vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.36-2.31vs Predicted
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16Florida State University1.95-4.35vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.81-5.28vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.12-4.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.13Bowdoin College2.388.1%1st Place
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7.91University of California at Santa Barbara2.047.8%1st Place
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7.65Georgetown University2.758.1%1st Place
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12.28Fordham University1.892.4%1st Place
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8.24SUNY Maritime College2.517.4%1st Place
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6.06Harvard University3.0510.6%1st Place
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10.46College of Charleston2.233.5%1st Place
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6.83Stanford University2.619.1%1st Place
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8.26University of Rhode Island2.787.2%1st Place
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10.96Connecticut College1.953.1%1st Place
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8.52Boston College2.206.2%1st Place
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8.21Dartmouth College2.386.7%1st Place
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9.56Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.164.0%1st Place
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8.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.5%1st Place
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12.69University of Wisconsin1.362.7%1st Place
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11.65Florida State University1.953.4%1st Place
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11.72Old Dominion University1.812.5%1st Place
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13.12University of Michigan1.121.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Hall | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Chris Kayda | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Mariner Fagan | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 15.3% |
| Benton Amthor | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Brandon Geller | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
| Walter Henry | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% |
| William Michels | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Will Murray | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Reed Weston | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 17.3% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 10.4% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 10.7% |
| Joe Serpa | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.