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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+3.75vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.16+8.23vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.52+5.75vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.47+4.91vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.03+5.97vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.18+4.01vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.55+1.54vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.38+1.49vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.69-1.30vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont3.41-1.08vs Predicted
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11Tufts University4.08-4.70vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.64+0.75vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University3.36-3.95vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-2.25vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.87-3.75vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College3.24-6.28vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan2.86-5.54vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.32-1.28vs Predicted
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19Washington College2.45-6.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.75Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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10.23Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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8.75Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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8.91Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.97Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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10.01Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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8.54Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
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7.7Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
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8.92University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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6.3Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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12.75Connecticut College2.640.0%1st Place
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9.05Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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11.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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11.25University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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9.72Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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11.46University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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16.72Cornell University1.320.0%1st Place
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12.74Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 16.1% | 14.4% | 13.6% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gram Slattery | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 2.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Connor Needham | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Ian Towill | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 1.6% |
| John Renehan | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Ryan Mullins | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Taylor Vann | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Judge Ryan | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| William Haeger | 10.6% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Timothy Clark | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 7.8% |
| Kyle Carney | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.7% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 4.6% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 5.1% |
| Wesley Byrne | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Graham | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 4.4% |
| Bradley Barth | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 53.7% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.