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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Miami2.32+8.21vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.73+3.85vs Predicted
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3George Washington University1.82+7.90vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.42+5.37vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute1.73+4.65vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+1.94vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.12+3.02vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.38+0.12vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy2.25+0.66vs Predicted
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10Fordham University1.53+2.40vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University-1.38+0.90vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.78-0.96vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-4.92vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.85-6.57vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.40-6.86vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.46-7.57vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.79-6.93vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.54-5.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.21University of Miami2.325.7%1st Place
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5.85Yale University2.7312.4%1st Place
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10.9George Washington University1.823.9%1st Place
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9.37University of Pennsylvania2.425.9%1st Place
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9.65Webb Institute1.734.5%1st Place
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7.94St. Mary's College of Maryland2.658.0%1st Place
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10.02Tufts University2.124.0%1st Place
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8.12Cornell University2.386.9%1st Place
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9.66U. S. Naval Academy2.254.9%1st Place
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12.4Fordham University1.532.3%1st Place
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11.9Jacksonville University-1.382.6%1st Place
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11.04North Carolina State University1.783.5%1st Place
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8.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.7%1st Place
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7.43Brown University2.858.6%1st Place
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8.14Roger Williams University2.408.0%1st Place
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8.43Tulane University2.465.8%1st Place
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10.07Boston University1.794.4%1st Place
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12.78University of South Florida1.541.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlee Kohl | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.8% |
| Jack Egan | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.2% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% |
| Rayne Duff | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% |
| Leo Boucher | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% |
| Bridget Green | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Gavin McJones | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% |
| Michael Burns | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 16.4% |
| Emily Allen | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 14.2% |
| Adam Larson | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 8.5% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Cameron Giblin | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% |
| Eden Nykamp | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 12.2% | 20.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.