← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.69+6.94vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University3.16+8.20vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University4.08+3.43vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy3.38+5.22vs Predicted
-
5Bowdoin College3.52+3.86vs Predicted
-
6Boston University3.03+4.60vs Predicted
-
7University of Michigan2.86+4.53vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University3.47+1.07vs Predicted
-
9Salve Regina University3.36+0.15vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College2.64+2.35vs Predicted
-
11University of Rhode Island2.87+0.46vs Predicted
-
12Boston College3.55-3.19vs Predicted
-
13Yale University4.55-8.48vs Predicted
-
14Dartmouth College3.18-3.79vs Predicted
-
15Washington College2.45-2.04vs Predicted
-
16Eckerd College3.24-6.31vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-5.36vs Predicted
-
18University of Vermont3.41-9.10vs Predicted
-
19Cornell University1.32-2.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.94Brown University3.690.1%1st Place
-
10.2Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
-
6.43Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
-
9.22U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
-
8.86Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
-
10.6Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
-
11.53University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
-
9.07Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
-
9.15Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
-
12.35Connecticut College2.640.0%1st Place
-
11.46University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
-
8.81Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
-
4.52Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
-
10.21Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
-
12.96Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
-
9.69Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
-
11.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
-
8.9University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
-
16.44Cornell University1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Judge Ryan | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Gram Slattery | 4.1% | 6.1% | 2.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| William Haeger | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Vann | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Ian Towill | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% |
| Matthew Graham | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 3.9% |
| Connor Needham | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Kyle Carney | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Timothy Clark | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 7.5% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 4.4% |
| Ryan Mullins | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Graham Landy | 18.2% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Renehan | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.9% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 14.5% | 11.8% |
| Wesley Byrne | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 5.4% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Bradley Barth | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 12.8% | 50.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.