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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.89+11.55vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.51+6.25vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17+5.89vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.20+4.72vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.78+3.41vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.49+1.94vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.81+4.95vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.75-0.15vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.61-2.03vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.38-1.78vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.05-4.70vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.38-3.71vs Predicted
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13Florida State University1.95-1.00vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.95-2.87vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan1.12-1.92vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.04-8.01vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-7.30vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin1.36-5.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.55Fordham University1.892.4%1st Place
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8.25SUNY Maritime College2.516.4%1st Place
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8.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.176.0%1st Place
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8.72Boston College2.206.2%1st Place
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8.41University of Rhode Island2.785.9%1st Place
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7.94College of Charleston2.498.2%1st Place
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11.95Old Dominion University1.812.9%1st Place
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7.85Georgetown University2.757.8%1st Place
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6.97Stanford University2.619.1%1st Place
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8.22Bowdoin College2.386.0%1st Place
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6.3Harvard University3.0510.6%1st Place
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8.29Dartmouth College2.386.6%1st Place
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12.0Florida State University1.952.5%1st Place
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11.13Connecticut College1.953.0%1st Place
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13.08University of Michigan1.122.5%1st Place
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7.99University of California at Santa Barbara2.046.9%1st Place
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9.7Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.164.6%1st Place
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12.77University of Wisconsin1.362.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kenneth Corsig | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 16.8% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Daniel Unangst | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Michael Kirkman | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Noah Zittrer | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.0% |
| Mariner Fagan | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| William Michels | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 10.7% | 12.8% |
| Walter Henry | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% |
| Joe Serpa | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 20.8% |
| Chris Kayda | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Will Murray | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% |
| Reed Weston | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 13.5% | 17.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.