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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.25+8.58vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.12+8.00vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.85+4.60vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.32+4.93vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.42+4.31vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.73+0.21vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.40+1.12vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-0.03vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.73+0.55vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.38-1.89vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University-1.38+1.08vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.46-3.75vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.79-3.01vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.53-1.53vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.78-4.12vs Predicted
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16George Washington University1.82-5.13vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-8.58vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.54-5.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.58U. S. Naval Academy2.255.3%1st Place
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10.0Tufts University2.124.5%1st Place
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7.6Brown University2.858.2%1st Place
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8.93University of Miami2.325.7%1st Place
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9.31University of Pennsylvania2.424.9%1st Place
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6.21Yale University2.7311.8%1st Place
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8.12Roger Williams University2.406.7%1st Place
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7.97St. Mary's College of Maryland2.657.0%1st Place
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9.55Webb Institute1.734.8%1st Place
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8.11Cornell University2.387.1%1st Place
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12.08Jacksonville University-1.382.9%1st Place
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8.25Tulane University2.466.7%1st Place
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9.99Boston University1.795.2%1st Place
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12.47Fordham University1.532.2%1st Place
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10.88North Carolina State University1.783.9%1st Place
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10.87George Washington University1.824.5%1st Place
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8.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.5%1st Place
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12.65University of South Florida1.542.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin McJones | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% |
| Jack Egan | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Rayne Duff | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Bridget Green | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Emily Allen | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 14.8% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Tyler Mowry | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% |
| Michael Burns | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 17.9% |
| Adam Larson | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Eden Nykamp | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.