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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.55+3.86vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.36+7.46vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.24+7.05vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.38+5.33vs Predicted
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5Tufts University4.08+1.67vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.16+4.20vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+4.81vs Predicted
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8Brown University4.30-2.12vs Predicted
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9University of Michigan2.86+2.39vs Predicted
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10Washington College2.45+3.20vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.64+1.56vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.03-0.78vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.47-4.32vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.87-2.31vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College3.52-6.30vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.55-7.48vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College3.18-6.81vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont3.41-8.90vs Predicted
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19Cornell University1.32-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.86Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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9.46Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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10.05Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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9.33U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
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6.67Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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10.2Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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11.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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5.88Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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11.39University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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13.2Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
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12.56Connecticut College2.640.0%1st Place
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11.22Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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8.68Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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11.69University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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8.7Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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8.52Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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10.19Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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9.1University of Vermont3.410.0%1st Place
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16.48Cornell University1.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 16.0% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Carney | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Wesley Byrne | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% |
| Taylor Vann | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| William Haeger | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Gram Slattery | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 5.1% |
| Tommy Fink | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Graham | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 4.5% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 12.3% |
| Timothy Clark | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 8.3% |
| Ian Towill | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 2.3% |
| Connor Needham | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 4.2% |
| Michael Croteau | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Ryan Mullins | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| John Renehan | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Nate Jermain | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% |
| Bradley Barth | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 15.4% | 50.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.