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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston2.49+6.78vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.78+6.44vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.20+5.70vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.75+4.03vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara2.04+3.15vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College1.95+4.91vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.81+4.70vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.61-1.08vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.38-0.65vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.38-1.54vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-1.87vs Predicted
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12Florida State University1.95-0.42vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.89-0.39vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-4.38vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.05-8.84vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin1.36-3.02vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College2.51-8.57vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan1.12-4.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.78College of Charleston2.497.8%1st Place
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8.44University of Rhode Island2.786.0%1st Place
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8.7Boston College2.205.2%1st Place
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8.03Georgetown University2.756.7%1st Place
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8.15University of California at Santa Barbara2.047.2%1st Place
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10.91Connecticut College1.953.6%1st Place
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11.7Old Dominion University1.812.6%1st Place
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6.92Stanford University2.619.6%1st Place
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8.35Bowdoin College2.386.5%1st Place
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8.46Dartmouth College2.386.3%1st Place
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9.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.5%1st Place
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11.58Florida State University1.953.0%1st Place
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12.61Fordham University1.892.2%1st Place
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9.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.164.6%1st Place
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6.16Harvard University3.0511.4%1st Place
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12.98University of Wisconsin1.362.6%1st Place
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8.43SUNY Maritime College2.516.7%1st Place
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13.06University of Michigan1.122.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Zittrer | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Mariner Fagan | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Chris Kayda | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Walter Henry | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% |
| Noyl Odom | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| William Michels | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 10.2% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 17.3% |
| Will Murray | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% |
| Lachlain McGranahan | 11.4% | 9.0% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Reed Weston | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 14.4% | 19.2% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Joe Serpa | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.