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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University4.08+5.47vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.55+6.71vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.55+1.93vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.52+4.79vs Predicted
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5Brown University4.30+0.88vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.18+4.12vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.41+2.27vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy3.38+1.62vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College3.24+0.79vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.03+0.83vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan2.86+0.63vs Predicted
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12Cornell University1.32+5.03vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University3.36-3.81vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.16-3.56vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-3.36vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.47-7.19vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.87-5.48vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.64-5.54vs Predicted
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19Washington College2.45-6.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.71Boston College3.550.1%1st Place
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4.93Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
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8.79Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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5.88Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
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10.12Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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9.27University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
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9.62U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
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9.79Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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10.83Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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11.63University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
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17.03Cornell University1.320.0%1st Place
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9.19Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
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10.44Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
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11.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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8.81Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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11.52University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
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12.46Connecticut College2.640.0%1st Place
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12.88Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Haeger | 8.8% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Mullins | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Graham Landy | 17.1% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Tommy Fink | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Renehan | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 2.5% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Taylor Vann | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.6% |
| Wesley Byrne | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Ian Towill | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 1.9% |
| Matthew Graham | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 4.9% |
| Bradley Barth | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 11.6% | 58.4% |
| Kyle Carney | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Gram Slattery | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 1.9% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 5.7% |
| Connor Needham | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Ryan Hughes | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 3.9% |
| Timothy Clark | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 6.2% |
| Eric Siegel | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 7.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.