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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.85+6.54vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.68+5.08vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.25+6.65vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38+4.34vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.82+5.97vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.73+0.16vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.42+2.61vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.12+2.14vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida1.54+3.90vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-1.82vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-2.59vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University1.78-0.80vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.79-2.66vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.46-5.43vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University2.10-5.13vs Predicted
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16University of Miami2.32-6.77vs Predicted
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17Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26-3.77vs Predicted
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18Webb Institute1.73-8.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Brown University2.858.1%1st Place
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7.08Roger Williams University2.689.3%1st Place
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9.65U. S. Naval Academy2.254.9%1st Place
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8.34Cornell University2.387.0%1st Place
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10.97George Washington University1.823.5%1st Place
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6.16Yale University2.7311.8%1st Place
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9.61University of Pennsylvania2.424.7%1st Place
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10.14Tufts University2.123.5%1st Place
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12.9University of South Florida1.542.1%1st Place
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8.18St. Mary's College of Maryland2.657.1%1st Place
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8.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.1%1st Place
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11.2North Carolina State University1.783.3%1st Place
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10.34Boston University1.793.6%1st Place
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8.57Tulane University2.467.1%1st Place
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9.87Jacksonville University2.104.0%1st Place
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9.23University of Miami2.325.3%1st Place
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13.23Palm Beach Atlantic University1.262.1%1st Place
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9.59Webb Institute1.735.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Nelson | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Gavin McJones | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% |
| Bridget Green | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.1% |
| Jack Egan | 11.8% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% |
| Trevor Davis | 3.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% |
| Eden Nykamp | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 21.5% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Adam Larson | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% |
| Tyler Mowry | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% |
| Cameron Giblin | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% |
| Owen Bannasch | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.8% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Thomas Green | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 24.4% |
| Rayne Duff | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.