← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University4.55+3.88vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.03+8.90vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College3.52+5.87vs Predicted
-
4Brown University4.30+1.66vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+7.08vs Predicted
-
6University of Michigan2.86+5.49vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University3.47+2.04vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University3.36+1.72vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University3.16+1.14vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University4.08-3.64vs Predicted
-
11Boston College3.55-2.34vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island2.87-0.03vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College3.18-3.03vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College2.64-1.39vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont3.41-5.85vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Naval Academy3.38-6.76vs Predicted
-
17Cornell University1.32-0.41vs Predicted
-
18Eckerd College3.24-8.17vs Predicted
-
19Washington College2.45-6.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.88Yale University4.550.2%1st Place
-
10.9Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
-
8.87Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
-
5.66Brown University4.300.1%1st Place
-
12.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
-
11.49University of Michigan2.860.0%1st Place
-
9.04Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
-
9.72Salve Regina University3.360.1%1st Place
-
10.14Harvard University3.160.0%1st Place
-
6.36Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
-
8.66Boston College3.550.0%1st Place
-
11.97University of Rhode Island2.870.0%1st Place
-
9.97Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
-
12.61Connecticut College2.640.0%1st Place
-
9.15University of Vermont3.410.1%1st Place
-
9.24U. S. Naval Academy3.380.1%1st Place
-
16.59Cornell University1.320.0%1st Place
-
9.83Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
-
12.83Washington College2.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Graham Landy | 15.2% | 14.4% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Towill | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% |
| Tommy Fink | 11.9% | 11.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Chloe Lepert | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 5.4% |
| Matthew Graham | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 5.1% |
| Connor Needham | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Kyle Carney | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Gram Slattery | 4.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| William Haeger | 10.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Mullins | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Hughes | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 4.0% |
| John Renehan | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Timothy Clark | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 7.2% |
| Nate Jermain | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Taylor Vann | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Bradley Barth | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 55.3% |
| Wesley Byrne | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Eric Siegel | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 13.4% | 8.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.