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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.19+5.66vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.53+10.77vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.17+2.89vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+2.95vs Predicted
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6Brown University4.25+0.52vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University4.31-0.43vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.68+0.72vs Predicted
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9University of Connecticut2.62+3.32vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.59-0.68vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College4.05-3.81vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont3.62-2.85vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.70-0.69vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.81-5.67vs Predicted
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15Boston College4.43-8.94vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-6.71vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University3.84-8.79vs Predicted
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18University of New Hampshire1.81-3.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.66Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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12.77Boston University2.530.0%1st Place
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6.89Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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7.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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6.52Brown University4.250.1%1st Place
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6.57Roger Williams University4.310.1%1st Place
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8.72Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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12.32University of Connecticut2.620.0%1st Place
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9.32University of Rhode Island3.590.0%1st Place
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7.19Dartmouth College4.050.1%1st Place
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9.15University of Vermont3.620.1%1st Place
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12.31Bowdoin College2.700.0%1st Place
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8.33Tufts University3.810.1%1st Place
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6.06Boston College4.430.1%1st Place
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9.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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8.21Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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14.74University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Morris | 9.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Mathew Renik | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 19.4% | 17.7% |
| John Stokes | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| William Brown | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sean Bouchard | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Maggie Shea | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Peter Giuliano | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 14.9% | 16.7% | 15.0% |
| Mike Warren | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Wefer | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Coleman Bowen | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Billy Rohman | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 19.9% | 12.6% |
| Andrew Criezis | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Anne Haeger | 11.1% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Clancy | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Neal Drake | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 16.5% | 45.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.