← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Maryland-0.08+2.24vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Stony Brook-0.45+1.74vs Predicted
-
3American University-0.66+1.09vs Predicted
-
4Virginia Tech-0.14-0.72vs Predicted
-
5Drexel University-0.85-0.41vs Predicted
-
6University of Delaware-2.34+1.39vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Military Academy-3.04+1.47vs Predicted
-
8Syracuse University-2.56-0.40vs Predicted
-
9Penn State University-0.91-4.38vs Predicted
-
10William and Mary-2.72-2.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.24University of Maryland-0.0822.1%1st Place
-
3.74SUNY Stony Brook-0.4517.1%1st Place
-
4.09American University-0.6612.7%1st Place
-
3.28Virginia Tech-0.1421.2%1st Place
-
4.59Drexel University-0.8510.8%1st Place
-
7.39University of Delaware-2.342.1%1st Place
-
8.47U. S. Military Academy-3.041.2%1st Place
-
7.6Syracuse University-2.561.4%1st Place
-
4.62Penn State University-0.919.6%1st Place
-
7.97William and Mary-2.721.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jared Cohen | 22.1% | 19.9% | 17.6% | 14.5% | 12.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Ernest Glukhov | 17.1% | 14.9% | 16.1% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
James Cottage | 12.7% | 15.1% | 14.4% | 16.0% | 13.5% | 13.9% | 9.3% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
Alexander Read | 21.2% | 20.8% | 17.0% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 8.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Lucas Randle | 10.8% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 17.2% | 12.7% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
Phillip Furlong | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 15.2% | 23.1% | 22.7% | 13.8% |
Sebastian Bustamante | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 8.2% | 15.9% | 22.4% | 40.7% |
Laura Jayne | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 14.8% | 21.9% | 22.2% | 18.1% |
Erich Laughlin | 9.6% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 14.2% | 16.0% | 16.8% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
Alexander Deas | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 12.2% | 17.5% | 25.8% | 26.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.