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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.73+6.04vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.23+7.14vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.44+5.25vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.91+2.24vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.51+3.13vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.80+0.69vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+1.98vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan3.02+2.30vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.97+1.04vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.54+2.05vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.17-1.61vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.00-1.51vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.10-3.57vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.89-3.24vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.81-0.40vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.72-4.83vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.90-6.46vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.96-7.88vs Predicted
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19Cornell University1.03-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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9.14Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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8.25U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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6.24Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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8.13University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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6.69Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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8.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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10.3University of Michigan3.020.1%1st Place
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10.04Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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12.05Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.39University of South Florida3.170.0%1st Place
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10.49Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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9.43Harvard University3.100.1%1st Place
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10.76Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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14.6Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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11.17University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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10.54Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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10.12Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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16.65Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Rice | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Michael Popp | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% |
| William Bowman | 11.1% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| OJ O'Connell | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| David Larson | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Seago | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 2.1% |
| Christopher Price | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 5.5% |
| Connor Brady | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Fraser | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 1.4% |
| Jason Michas | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Tony Collins | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 19.0% | 23.1% |
| Samuel Cushing | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 2.6% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 1.7% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Robert Suriani | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 16.1% | 51.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.