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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.25+8.81vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.85+5.84vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+5.13vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+4.64vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.73+1.21vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.32+3.38vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.42+2.72vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.79+2.23vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute1.73+0.63vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.78+0.98vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.38-2.96vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.46-3.54vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.68-5.85vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.12-3.92vs Predicted
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15Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26-1.69vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University2.10-6.43vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.82-5.91vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.54-5.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.81U. S. Naval Academy2.254.5%1st Place
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7.84Brown University2.857.2%1st Place
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8.13St. Mary's College of Maryland2.657.0%1st Place
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8.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.3%1st Place
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6.21Yale University2.7312.4%1st Place
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9.38University of Miami2.325.5%1st Place
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9.72University of Pennsylvania2.424.7%1st Place
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10.23Boston University1.794.5%1st Place
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9.63Webb Institute1.733.7%1st Place
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10.98North Carolina State University1.783.6%1st Place
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8.04Cornell University2.388.3%1st Place
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8.46Tulane University2.466.2%1st Place
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7.15Roger Williams University2.689.3%1st Place
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10.08Tufts University2.124.7%1st Place
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13.31Palm Beach Atlantic University1.262.2%1st Place
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9.57Jacksonville University2.104.2%1st Place
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11.09George Washington University1.823.2%1st Place
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12.74University of South Florida1.542.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin McJones | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Jack Egan | 12.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% |
| Rayne Duff | 3.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% |
| Adam Larson | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% |
| Bridget Green | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% |
| Thomas Green | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 26.4% |
| Owen Bannasch | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% |
| Eden Nykamp | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 13.1% | 20.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.