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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.73+5.99vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.44+6.25vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.80+3.82vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont3.51+3.87vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.90+5.84vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.54+5.91vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.91-0.70vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.10+1.93vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-0.32vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.97+0.24vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.00-0.93vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.72-0.32vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.96-2.93vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.17-4.54vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.23-5.98vs Predicted
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16Washington College1.81-1.19vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan3.02-7.05vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College2.89-7.55vs Predicted
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19Cornell University1.03-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.99Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.25U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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6.82Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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7.87University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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10.84Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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11.91Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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6.3Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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9.93Harvard University3.100.1%1st Place
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8.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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10.24Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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10.07Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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11.68University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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10.07Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
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9.46University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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9.02Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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14.81Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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9.95University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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10.45Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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16.66Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Michael Popp | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 10.6% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| OJ O'Connell | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 6.6% |
| William Bowman | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jason Michas | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% |
| David Larson | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Price | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 1.3% |
| Cameron Fraser | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Samuel Cushing | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 3.7% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Connor Brady | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Tyler Rice | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 12.3% | 21.9% | 19.8% |
| Ryan Seago | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Tony Collins | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Robert Suriani | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 15.7% | 52.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.