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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.5%
Within 2 Positions
5.2
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.80+5.80vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.54+10.13vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+6.04vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.97+6.32vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.96+5.56vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.90+4.39vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.89+3.61vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.23+1.37vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.72+2.07vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.73-3.15vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.91-4.71vs Predicted
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12University of Michigan3.02-1.62vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.03+3.71vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.44-5.66vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.17-5.72vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont3.51-8.26vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.10-7.36vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.00-8.01vs Predicted
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19Washington College1.81-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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12.13Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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10.32Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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10.56Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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10.39Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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10.61Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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9.37Brown University3.230.1%1st Place
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11.07University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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6.85Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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6.29Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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10.38University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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16.71Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
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8.34U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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9.28University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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7.74University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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9.64Harvard University3.100.0%1st Place
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9.99Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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14.47Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Segerblom | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 5.9% |
| David Larson | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Price | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.5% |
| Peter Edmunds | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Tony Collins | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% |
| Tyler Rice | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Samuel Cushing | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 3.5% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 8.7% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| William Bowman | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 1.0% |
| Robert Suriani | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 15.1% | 53.4% |
| Michael Popp | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Connor Brady | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| OJ O'Connell | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Jason Michas | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Cameron Fraser | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.5% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 20.5% | 19.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.