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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.73+6.31vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+6.59vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.42+6.79vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.68+3.23vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.73+1.17vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.82+5.01vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.73+2.75vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.32+1.33vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.38-0.77vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65-1.85vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.25-1.13vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University2.10-1.99vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.12-2.78vs Predicted
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14Tulane University2.46-5.46vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University1.78-3.91vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.53-3.33vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.79-6.76vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida1.54-5.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.31Brown University2.737.7%1st Place
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8.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.2%1st Place
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9.79University of Pennsylvania2.424.8%1st Place
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7.23Roger Williams University2.689.2%1st Place
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6.17Yale University2.7311.3%1st Place
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11.01George Washington University1.823.4%1st Place
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9.75Webb Institute1.734.7%1st Place
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9.33University of Miami2.325.2%1st Place
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8.23Cornell University2.386.9%1st Place
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8.15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.657.4%1st Place
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9.87U. S. Naval Academy2.254.5%1st Place
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10.01Jacksonville University2.103.8%1st Place
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10.22Tufts University2.124.0%1st Place
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8.54Tulane University2.466.4%1st Place
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11.09North Carolina State University1.784.2%1st Place
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12.67Fordham University1.532.2%1st Place
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10.24Boston University1.794.4%1st Place
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12.8University of South Florida1.542.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guthrie Braun | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Jordan Bruce | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.3% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Jack Egan | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% |
| Rayne Duff | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% |
| Bridget Green | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Leo Boucher | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Gavin McJones | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% |
| Owen Bannasch | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Adam Larson | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.6% |
| Michael Burns | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 13.0% | 18.8% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% |
| Eden Nykamp | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 22.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.