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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.80+5.57vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.91+4.19vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.21+6.14vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.44+4.02vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont3.51+2.99vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.10+3.44vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.89+3.49vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.72+3.45vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.96+0.91vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-1.32vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.00-1.16vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.17-2.39vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.54-1.20vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.05-4.14vs Predicted
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15University of Michigan3.02-5.26vs Predicted
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16Washington College1.81-1.33vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.03-0.29vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.97-8.04vs Predicted
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19Bowdoin College2.90-9.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.57Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.19Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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9.14Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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8.02U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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7.99University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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9.44Harvard University3.100.1%1st Place
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10.49Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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11.45University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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9.91Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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8.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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9.84Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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9.61University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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11.8Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.86Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.74University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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14.67Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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16.71Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
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9.96Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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9.96Bowdoin College2.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Segerblom | 9.3% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Bowman | 12.4% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Michael Popp | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| OJ O'Connell | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jason Michas | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Tony Collins | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Samuel Cushing | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| David Larson | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Fraser | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Connor Brady | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 5.4% |
| Drew Shea | 5.6% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 11.0% | 22.6% | 19.2% |
| Robert Suriani | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 7.0% | 13.6% | 54.2% |
| Christopher Price | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 1.6% |
| Peter Edmunds | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.