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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
5.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.97+9.05vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.96+8.15vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.54+9.00vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.10+5.52vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.89+5.78vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.91+0.14vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.21+2.07vs Predicted
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8University of Michigan3.02+2.14vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.03+7.59vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.80-3.58vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.00-1.08vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy3.44-3.67vs Predicted
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13Washington College1.81+1.52vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.51-6.16vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.17-5.88vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-7.35vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.05-7.30vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.72-6.92vs Predicted
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19Bowdoin College2.90-9.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.05Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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10.15Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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12.0Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.52Harvard University3.100.0%1st Place
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10.78Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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6.14Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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9.07Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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10.14University of Michigan3.020.1%1st Place
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16.59Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
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6.42Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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9.92Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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8.33U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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14.52Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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7.84University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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9.12University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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8.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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9.7Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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11.08University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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9.96Bowdoin College2.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Price | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Robert Lippincott | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 5.0% |
| Jason Michas | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Tony Collins | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 2.1% |
| William Bowman | 13.4% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Ryan Seago | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Robert Suriani | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 7.0% | 12.2% | 54.8% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 9.6% | 11.9% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Fraser | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Michael Popp | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 21.0% | 20.4% |
| OJ O'Connell | 8.2% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Connor Brady | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| David Larson | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Drew Shea | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Samuel Cushing | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 2.7% |
| Peter Edmunds | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.