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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy2.25+8.88vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31+6.33vs Predicted
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3North Carolina State University1.78+8.30vs Predicted
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4Tulane University2.46+4.51vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+3.38vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.73+0.19vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute1.73+2.65vs Predicted
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8University of Miami2.32+1.33vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.12+1.18vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.82+1.07vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.42-1.31vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.53+0.48vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.68-5.87vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.73-6.55vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida1.54-2.12vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.38-7.74vs Predicted
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17Boston University1.79-6.66vs Predicted
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18Jacksonville University2.10-8.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.88U. S. Naval Academy2.254.8%1st Place
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8.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.316.5%1st Place
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11.3North Carolina State University1.783.6%1st Place
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8.51Tulane University2.467.0%1st Place
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8.38St. Mary's College of Maryland2.656.7%1st Place
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6.19Yale University2.7310.8%1st Place
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9.65Webb Institute1.734.9%1st Place
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9.33University of Miami2.325.5%1st Place
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10.18Tufts University2.124.9%1st Place
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11.07George Washington University1.823.2%1st Place
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9.69University of Pennsylvania2.425.3%1st Place
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12.48Fordham University1.532.2%1st Place
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7.13Roger Williams University2.689.3%1st Place
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7.45Brown University2.737.6%1st Place
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12.88University of South Florida1.541.7%1st Place
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8.26Cornell University2.386.8%1st Place
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10.34Boston University1.794.2%1st Place
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9.93Jacksonville University2.105.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin McJones | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% |
| Sam Bruce | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Adam Larson | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.1% |
| Cameron Giblin | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Leo Boucher | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Jack Egan | 10.8% | 12.4% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rayne Duff | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.8% |
| Jordan Bruce | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.5% |
| Michael Burns | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 18.3% |
| Carlos de Castro | 9.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Guthrie Braun | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Eden Nykamp | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 21.2% |
| Bridget Green | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% |
| Owen Bannasch | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.