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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.78+7.34vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.38+6.05vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.90+3.90vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.48+3.50vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.61+2.00vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.20+2.61vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.81+4.80vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.75-0.28vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.92+1.53vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.23+0.15vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.51-2.81vs Predicted
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12Florida State University1.95-0.30vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.16-3.47vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.17-5.08vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin1.36-2.27vs Predicted
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16University of Michigan1.12-3.06vs Predicted
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17University of California at Santa Barbara2.04-9.16vs Predicted
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18Fordham University1.89-5.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.34University of Rhode Island2.786.7%1st Place
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8.05Bowdoin College2.386.3%1st Place
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6.9Dartmouth College2.909.0%1st Place
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7.5Harvard University2.489.4%1st Place
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7.0Stanford University2.619.4%1st Place
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8.61Boston College2.205.9%1st Place
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11.8Old Dominion University1.813.5%1st Place
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7.72Georgetown University2.756.3%1st Place
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10.53Connecticut College1.923.5%1st Place
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10.15College of Charleston2.234.8%1st Place
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8.19SUNY Maritime College2.516.7%1st Place
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11.7Florida State University1.952.7%1st Place
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9.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.165.6%1st Place
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8.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.175.1%1st Place
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12.73University of Wisconsin1.362.1%1st Place
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12.94University of Michigan1.122.5%1st Place
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7.84University of California at Santa Barbara2.047.8%1st Place
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12.56Fordham University1.892.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kerem Erkmen | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Thomas Hall | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Robert Bragg | 9.0% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Michelle Lahrkamp | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Michael Kirkman | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% |
| Noyl Odom | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 10.8% |
| Mariner Fagan | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| CJ Mckenna | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% |
| Brandon Geller | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.6% |
| Benton Amthor | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Mateo Rodriguez | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 10.9% |
| Will Murray | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% |
| Daniel Unangst | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Reed Weston | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 13.0% | 17.6% |
| Joe Serpa | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 14.1% | 19.4% |
| Chris Kayda | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Kenneth Corsig | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 16.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.