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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.80+5.54vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.91+4.18vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.21+6.13vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.10+5.54vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.44+3.30vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.96+4.02vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.89+3.50vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.90+2.59vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.00+0.78vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida3.17-0.86vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.72+0.16vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-2.89vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.97-3.16vs Predicted
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14University of Michigan3.02-4.02vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.54-3.21vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.05-6.35vs Predicted
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17Washington College1.81-2.40vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.03-1.11vs Predicted
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19University of Vermont3.51-11.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.54Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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6.18Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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9.13Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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9.54Harvard University3.100.0%1st Place
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8.3U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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10.02Connecticut College2.960.1%1st Place
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10.5Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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10.59Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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9.78Boston University3.000.0%1st Place
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9.14University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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11.16University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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9.11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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9.84Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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9.98University of Michigan3.020.1%1st Place
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11.79Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.65Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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14.6Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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16.89Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
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7.29University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Segerblom | 9.0% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| William Bowman | 12.3% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Jason Michas | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
| Michael Popp | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Tony Collins | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 2.2% |
| Peter Edmunds | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 2.6% |
| Cameron Fraser | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| Connor Brady | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Samuel Cushing | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 3.5% |
| David Larson | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Price | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Ryan Seago | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 6.0% |
| Drew Shea | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 22.0% | 21.1% |
| Robert Suriani | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 15.7% | 52.1% |
| OJ O'Connell | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.