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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.73+8.34vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.12+7.62vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.73+2.94vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.65+3.85vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.85+2.30vs Predicted
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6University of Miami2.32+2.88vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.38+0.90vs Predicted
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8George Washington University1.82+2.74vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.31-0.83vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University1.78+1.02vs Predicted
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11Tulane University2.46-3.03vs Predicted
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12Boston University1.79-2.05vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida1.54-0.53vs Predicted
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14Jacksonville University-1.38-2.39vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy1.89-4.42vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania1.59-5.21vs Predicted
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17Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26-4.19vs Predicted
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18Roger Williams University2.45-9.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.34Webb Institute1.735.5%1st Place
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9.62Tufts University2.124.5%1st Place
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5.94Yale University2.7311.3%1st Place
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7.85St. Mary's College of Maryland2.658.2%1st Place
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7.3Brown University2.857.8%1st Place
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8.88University of Miami2.325.7%1st Place
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7.9Cornell University2.388.1%1st Place
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10.74George Washington University1.823.5%1st Place
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8.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.317.4%1st Place
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11.02North Carolina State University1.783.6%1st Place
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7.97Tulane University2.466.9%1st Place
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9.95Boston University1.794.8%1st Place
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12.47University of South Florida1.542.9%1st Place
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11.61Jacksonville University-1.383.2%1st Place
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10.58U. S. Naval Academy1.894.9%1st Place
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10.79University of Pennsylvania1.593.1%1st Place
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12.81Palm Beach Atlantic University1.262.1%1st Place
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8.05Roger Williams University2.456.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayne Duff | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% |
| Trevor Davis | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.4% |
| Jack Egan | 11.3% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Leo Boucher | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Connor Nelson | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Atlee Kohl | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Bridget Green | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Tyler Wood | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% |
| Sam Bruce | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Adam Larson | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.9% |
| Cameron Giblin | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Mowry | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% |
| Eden Nykamp | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 18.1% |
| Emily Allen | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 12.6% |
| Cooper Walshe | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% |
| Christopher Sharpless | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% |
| Thomas Green | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 20.3% |
| Aidan Hoogland | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.