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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.97+9.10vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.21+7.06vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.80+3.64vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.72+7.16vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.10+4.77vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.00+3.83vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.91-0.86vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+0.99vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.90+1.20vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.44-2.10vs Predicted
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11University of Michigan3.02-1.20vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida3.17-2.44vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.54-1.21vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.05-4.15vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.89-4.74vs Predicted
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16Washington College1.81-1.33vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont3.51-9.32vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.96-8.01vs Predicted
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19Cornell University1.03-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.1Dartmouth College2.970.0%1st Place
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9.06Tufts University3.210.1%1st Place
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6.64Yale University3.800.1%1st Place
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11.16University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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9.77Harvard University3.100.0%1st Place
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9.83Boston University3.000.1%1st Place
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6.14Boston College3.910.1%1st Place
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8.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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10.2Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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7.9U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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9.8University of Michigan3.020.0%1st Place
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9.56University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
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11.79Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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9.85Brown University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.26Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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14.67Washington College1.810.0%1st Place
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7.68University of Vermont3.510.1%1st Place
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9.99Connecticut College2.960.0%1st Place
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16.6Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Price | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| David Liebenberg | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Segerblom | 10.8% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Samuel Cushing | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 2.8% |
| Jason Michas | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Cameron Fraser | 6.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| William Bowman | 10.5% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| David Larson | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Peter Edmunds | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% |
| Michael Popp | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Ryan Seago | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| Connor Brady | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Robert Lippincott | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 4.6% |
| Drew Shea | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Tony Collins | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
| Eleanor Conroy | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 21.6% | 19.9% |
| OJ O'Connell | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Jordan Bothwick | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Robert Suriani | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 14.0% | 52.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.